Last week sucked. Bad bounces and some terrible reads there, the perfect mix of absolute suckage. This week could be fun. No diatribe or anything, here’s some mediocre analysis, as only a mediocre fight fan could pen.
Last Week: 1-7, -10.15U
Total: +4.75U Charles Oliveira vs Beneil Dariush
This is the people's main event. This fight will be absolutely awesome. Two all-action guys, two elite grapplers and willing brawlers. This fight should be absolutely wild.
I won’t lie, I’m rooting for Oliveira. I’m biased as hell. I want Do Bronx to win this fight. Nothing against Beneil, just that run from Charles was so, so much fun and he absolutely won me over. That being said, I think this is a fairly 50/50 fight. Dariush won’t be afraid to enter Oliveira’s guard if he knocks him down, and might even be willing to take Do Bronx down. Oliveira will look to pressure Dariush and hope to keep him on the back foot.
I think this is a very interesting fight. I think Oliveira might be a little quicker on the feet, but Beneil could win some of the wrestling exchanges, and Oliveira isn’t the best defensive striker. Two awesome fighters in an excellent fight and I want Oliveira to win, so that’s my pick. But the under 2.5 here is my pick. It’s juiced, but it’s something I like.
Amanda Nunes vs Irene Aldana
Nunes is the better fighter, it’s all narratives for those picking Aldana. Aldana has legit crisp boxing, but I don’t think her grappling is there with Nunes. If Nunes is fully bought in here and wrestles, she is going to control this fight. Nunes by sub at good odds? Yes, please.
Dan Ige vs Nate “The Train” Landwehr
NATE THE TRAIN ON THE PAY PER VIEW
I like Ige here quite a bit. I think he’s the much better striker and is crisp with his combinations. I think Nate will hold his own for a bit, but Ige will just put it on him, stuff the takedowns and control this fight before finishing Nate. I love Nate the Train, but this matchup is a rough one for him. Ige should control this fight and show that he’s a legit Top 15 guy in this division. Ige by KO.
Aori Qileng vs Aiemann Zahabi
I like Qileng in this spot. Zahabi is a low-volume striker and I think Qileng will put him on the back foot and will hit the more noticeable strikes. Qileng is a legit striker and he’s nicknamed the Mongolian Murderer for a reason. He will pressure Zahabi, he’s the bigger guy and will take the fight to Zahabi, and I think Zahabi’s stock went up a little more than it should have after the Turcios fight. I could lose here, but I’ll take the Mongolian Murderer.
Mike Malott vs Adam Fugitt
I think Mike Malott is a legit prospect. He’s got good kicks, very good BJJ and solid wrestling. He’s not a world beater, not a future champ or anything like that, but he’s a very solid, fundamental fighter. Fugitt might have the wrestling advantage, but I think Malott’s grappling will keep him in this fight and he will land the cleaner, more technical strikes. Oh, and this fight isn’t going the distance. Don't know if Malott wins by sub or KO, but I think he wins this fight, and wins inside the distance.
Miranda Maverick vs Jasmine Jasudavicius
Jasmine will look to wrestle in this fight, I just don’t know if she will be able to get the takedowns and control time on Maverick. Miranda Maverick is a prospect I really like in this division, aside from her fight against the GOAT Erin Blanchfield, Maverick has looked very solid in her UFC career and she definitely didn’t lose the Barber fight. I think Maverick could look to wrestle in this matchup, or just keep this on the feet and keep this fight at range. I think this match goes to decision, as the line would indicate, and I think this fight is Maverick’s to lose.
Dan Ige KO 1U to win 1.8U
Aori Qileng 1.1U to win 1U
Maverick B-D 1.15U to win 1U Oliveira/Dariush U2.5 1.8U to win 1U
Nunes by submission 1U to win 5U
Bilder/Nelson U2.5 1.45U to win 1U
SGPx: Maverick B-D+Ige .625U to win 1.28U
Ticking Time Bomb: Belbita/Oliveira FGTD, Maverick/Jasmine FGTD, Charles/Beneil U2.5, 1.5U to win 2.39U
Parlay: U2.5 Malott/Fugitt, U2.5 Beneil/Charles, 1U to win 1.01U