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Postseason Spreads Season 2, Volume 2: The Divisional Round

Photo: NBC

Jimmy G, Tommy B, Ryan T, and... everyone else who couldn't fit into this wordplay. We've got four more games for you this week in the NFL Playoffs, which means we've got some more picks from Will Tondo and myself. Here's how we think each game will go against the spread in this weekend's Divisional Round, plus a prop bet for each game.

Postseason 2022 Records

Basel: (3-0 ML) (2-1 ATS)

Tondo: (3-0 ML) (2-1 ATS)

Basel's Picks-The NFC

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers-Saturday at 8:15

As much as I think Jimmy G has a lot to prove in this game, as he looks to impress before testing free agency next year, all eyes are on Aaron Rodgers in this year's postseason, as he makes what could be his last big push in Green Bay. In terms of the numbers, everything points to Green Bay covering the spread; this season, they are 8-0 ATS at home, and 5-1 ATS when listed as a favorite of 5 or more points. All the drama from last summer aside, Rodgers and Green Bay's offense have fired on all cylinders this year, and will not be going down in one game. Take the Packers to cover, win, and Aaron Rodgers to carry the brunt of the scoring at Lambeau on Saturday evening.

Packers -5.5, Packers ML, OVER 47.5, Aaron Rodgers OVER 2.5 Passing TDS (+130)

Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Sunday at 3:00

If the spread was anything larger than 3, I'd go with the Rams, but do think that it will come down to a Buccaneers field goal as both QBs engage in an all-time shootout. For the Rams to cover, we'll have to see the Stafford-Kupp connection at it's absolute best, which I wouldn't be surprised if I saw. As great as that connection is, I just think Tom Brady has way more consistent weapons on his offense, even without Antonio Brown. Leonard Fournette, who had been dealing with a back injury, is back in the lineup. While I wouldn't expect a TON of production from him, having him as another option for Brady just gives them one more edge against this Rams team.

Buccaneers -3, Buccaneers ML, OVER 47.5, Cooper Kupp UNDER 99.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

Tondo's Picks-The AFC

Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans-Saturday at 4:30

What the Bengals have built is quite incredible. The next generation stud QB, the young coach, the exciting offensive weapon, the want to come to Cincy... it has been a nice story thus far in the playoffs. Zac Taylor, Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase are electric, and I can't wait for them to shine in years to come. The Titans are this interesting mystic, a potential Super Bowl Champion or second round exit. My brain for some reason doesn't think the Titans were that good this season (i.e. the Jets loss), but yet they were awarded the No.1 seed. Young OB, our Titans writer Om Brown, has talked me into the Titans. Getting Derek Henry back is very helpful, and it takes the pressure off of Ryan Tannehill a little bit. I am for the Titans,Coach Vrabel, and the Boys. I think they win this, but in veryyy close fashion.

Bengals +3.5, Titans ML, UNDER 47.5, Derrick Henry UNDER 79.5 Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs-Sunday at 6:30

I think this may be the game of the weekend. Teams that are destined to crash courses every playoffs. I think the Chiefs weren't that incredible this year, but they are the favorites. 3-4 after 7 weeks, it wasn't till a dominant Raiders win in week 9 that gave Tennessee any notoriety, but other than that they snuck by the rest of the season on a small margin of victory. Yes the Chiefs knocked down the Steelers in heroic fashion, but their defense let up 21 points? I think Josh Allen and Co. are ready for the next step. The Chiefs did it once this year, and I think it happens again. Nobody circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills... Bills cover two and win outright. Bills +2, Bills ML, OVER 54.5, Dawson Knox anytime TD


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